Daily Archives: September 17, 2016


September 17, 2016


By Arturo P. GarciaISIS-Controlled-Areas

It’s a good way to celebrate the coming Christmas season with a season of ceasefire in different areas of the world. In South America, its in Colombia, in the Middle East in Syria and in Asia-the Philippines.

In Colombia, the peace agreement between the Frente Armadas Revolucionario de Colombia (FARC) and the Colombian government has been concluded in Havana, Cuba and will be signed before the end of the month.

The peace agreement will end the 50 year old armed struggle in Colombia that started during the civil war between the conservative and the liberal parties in Colombia called the “La Violencia” in the 1940’s up to 2016.

In Syria, the ceasefire was a result of the peace talks between the United States and Russia in Syria. The ceasefire is for humanitarian reason, to allow the entry of humanitarian aid to refugees that number in millions in the conflict area and as a breather for both side from the killings, bombings and military offensives.

The ceasefire only last 48 hours and is renegotiates every after 48 hours of monitoring. But people appreciate it because it gives them moments of peace.

In the Philippines, as a result of preliminary peace negotiations in Oslo, Norway, the Philippine government and the National Democratic Front (NDF) gave way for the declaration of unilateral ceasefire for an indefinite period on both sides.14054299_10209124495803178_1134729115577460992_o

The first time in more than 30 years, a unilateral ceasefire agreed upon by both side sans a formal agreement and with details still to be hammered out, is in effect. And both sides have benefits and disadvantages enjoyed.

A big advantage for the Duterte regime is that the ceasefire freed several battalion of the AFP from the NPA areas to de deployed at the ASG infested areas in the Sulu archipelago, Basilan and Tawi-tawi to focus on the ISIS influenced areas.

For the NDF, it was a confidence building measures after Duterte withdraw his umilateral ceasefire order after his State of the Nation Address (SONA) last July and ordered the AFP to pursue the NPA forces. There was a spat between Duterte and Joema Sison and after the tirades from both sides, all ended well with the peace talks in Norway.

It also gives time for both sides to consolidate their forces. It is the calm before the storm.

I believe that after Duterte has consolidated the AFP and his anti-drug war, he will unleash his armed forces against the NPA just like all the Philippine President did in the 70 years history of the Philippine Republic.

As the saying goes, “in times of peace, prepare for war.”